Derivatives for
Prediction Markets
New ways to express a view on prediction markets. Options, leverage, and structured exposure on shorter timelines.
2028 Presidential Election
22%
4¢
+225%
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
2%
1¢
+60%
Jesus Christ Return Before 2027
4%
6¢
10¢
+60%
Trump Acquires Greenland Before 2027
11%
2¢
+89%
US Confirms Aliens Exist Before 2027
20%
8¢
25¢
+32%
Top Spotify Artist 2026
59%
8¢
+125%
Largest Company End of March
95%
12¢
+42%
7.0+ Earthquakes by June 30
53%
6¢
+650%
Fed Rate Cut by June
54%
7¢
+471%
S&P 500 Addition Q1 2026
13%
2¢
+350%
2028 Presidential Election
22%
4¢
+225%
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
2%
1¢
+60%
Jesus Christ Return Before 2027
4%
6¢
10¢
+60%
Trump Acquires Greenland Before 2027
11%
2¢
+89%
US Confirms Aliens Exist Before 2027
20%
8¢
25¢
+32%
Top Spotify Artist 2026
59%
8¢
+125%
Largest Company End of March
95%
12¢
+42%
7.0+ Earthquakes by June 30
53%
6¢
+650%
Fed Rate Cut by June
54%
7¢
+471%
S&P 500 Addition Q1 2026
13%
2¢
+350%
Why wait to profit?
Prediction markets tie up capital and can move slowly. Derivatives let you express the same view on shorter timelines — with defined risk and leveraged exposure.
Trade weekly and monthly contracts. Control the timeframe, not just the position.
+$150
+300%
+$42
+83%
Asymmetric upside, defined risk
Buy a call or put contract with a strike price and expiry. If the market moves past your strike, your returns are amplified. If it doesn't, you lose the premium — nothing more.
Sell contracts to collect premium from markets you believe won't move. Same instruments, opposite strategy.
Capped downside. Uncapped upside. You choose the timeframe.
Why pay $400 when $50 will do?
“Will candidate X win?” is trading at 40¢. You think it goes up. Two ways to play it.
Buy 1,000 shares at 40¢
$400
Exp. Nov 3, 2028capital locked until market settles
Buy a call at 40¢ strike
$50
Exp. Jun 30, 2026total cost · premium only
8x
less capital required
7x
more upside potential
$50
max you can lose
What you can do on Theta Labs
Trade Markets
Buy and sell shares on prediction markets from Polymarket and Kalshi — all in one place.
Trade Options
Buy calls and puts on any market. Set your strike, pick your expiry, and trade with leveraged exposure.
Sell Premium
Write contracts and collect premium. Earn yield on markets you believe won't move past your strike.
More Derivatives
Spreads, straddles, exotic structures, and multi-leg strategies — all on the roadmap.